Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 17.742648 20.638140 23.804262 27.516233 31.741486 36.393682 41.896082
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 13.955732 18.174327 23.259024 29.802372 37.958964 47.747589 60.335960
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 10.921871 15.578117 21.642890 30.037459 41.257969 55.627913 75.293718
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.686227 13.396654 19.950532 29.593789 43.248468 61.687275 88.217372
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.960461 11.520578 18.251650 28.705743 44.273262 66.279073 99.326288
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.862941 10.339797 17.305509 28.652078 46.307246 72.269336 112.712796
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.057550 9.457883 16.643454 28.865664 48.649246 78.783135 127.271365
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.059438 8.066721 14.943896 27.168676 47.760950 80.251097 134.241904
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.679199 7.692856 14.871842 28.105627 51.136090 88.527027 152.296880
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.433622 7.523020 15.118999 29.590456 55.524114 98.718208 174.106096
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.935441 6.774333 14.208545 28.892280 56.058881 102.573325 185.796664
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.440119 5.941074 13.016673 27.514141 55.212648 103.968149 193.385714
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.318391 5.909882 13.437350 29.346313 60.573209 116.822931 222.125120
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.242207 5.975333 14.078318 31.718548 67.242676 132.643515 257.464228
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.987324 5.576519 13.688186 31.957150 69.836912 141.317330 280.742873
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.715831 5.079646 13.005217 31.486024 70.958235 147.323925 299.572753
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.454887 4.550980 12.162508 30.546547 71.000418 151.240052 314.731472
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.284863 4.227040 11.745234 30.489716 72.854137 158.770803 337.242652
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.152106 3.977892 11.469191 30.715576 75.320096 167.676739 363.004137
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.941774 3.449623 10.401721 28.920675 73.148942 167.017997 369.818449
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.879815 3.363707 10.474353 29.911759 77.335440 179.759983 404.387583
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.845175 3.358645 10.764616 31.482002 82.996566 195.989516 447.094275
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.730656 3.058250 10.185714 30.743719 83.157225 200.479649 465.759415